Is a Home Warranty Worth It
Prices checked 2026-08-28
USUALLY A LOSS
0.52expected repairs / yr
$98.80gross claims value / yr
$-320.20your net / yr
4.24×claims needed to break even
You would need claims worth about 424% more than the plan costs to break even. Home warranties are sold on convenience, not expected value - keeping a self-insured repair fund usually beats them.
The uncomfortable arithmetic
Warranties are priced so the typical household never claims enough to cover the premium. You are buying capped downside and a phone number to call, not a profit. If you can hold a four-figure emergency fund, self-insuring usually beats the plan – the numbers above show why.
It is a genuinely good deal for exactly two households: older appliance stacks, and people who cannot absorb a surprise $600 repair this month.
Important:
FixForesight publishes national cost ranges from public data. It is not a contractor, and this is not a quote. Get two local quotes before you authorise work.
Full disclaimer · Affiliate disclosure · How we price
Full disclaimer · Affiliate disclosure · How we price